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Week 10 in the NFL didn’t cause the playoff picture to change much when it comes to who’s in and who’s out. But this week’s NFL outcomes did prompt a shift in the teams in the playoff hunt.Additionally Authentic Takkarist McKinley Jersey , the Steelers’ win over the Panthers and the Patriots’ loss to the Titans means there’s been a shakeup in the current AFC seeds. Here’s a look at the updated NFL playoff picture following Week 10.AFC playoff pictureWhat stayed the same: The Chiefs remain the AFC’s top team thanks in large part to Patrick Mahomes throwing touchdowns at a rate that’s unheard of in Kansas City. Mahomes has more touchdowns through Week 10 (31) than any Chiefs quarterback has thrown in an entire season. The No. 4-6 seeds remained as-is this week while the Texans were on a bye, the Chargers beat the Raiders, and the Bengals lost to the Saints.The best and worst from Week 10Monday Morning Pleighbook: The Titans destroyed the Patriots and trolled them along the wayPlayoff picture: How Week 10’s results shaped the postseason raceEmbarrassment of the week: The Jets have reached a new level of humiliation The 10 dumbest mistakes from Week 10, rankedLET AARON DONALD RUN THE DAMN BALL! The Cowboys’ formula for winning starts with Ezekiel Elliott How the hell did the Bucs have 501 yards and only score 3 points? Jared Goff’s “Halle Berry” audible is confusing Halle BerryLe’Veon Bell isn’t coming back this seasonRams tackle Andrew Whitworth donated his entire game check to victims of the Thousand Oaks shootingDerek Carr and the Raiders’ season summed up in one playWhat changed: The Steelers moved into the No. 2 seed after their dominant performance over the Panthers that has many wondering if they’re actually the AFC’s best team. The Chiefs beat the Steelers earlier in the year when Pittsburgh was going through a funk. The Patriots’ loss to the Titans has people questioning what went wrong for New England on Sunday. It also has them positioned in the No. 3 seed heading into Week 11.The hunt: The Titans’ big win has them as the first team out and the Dolphins are close behind, despite a loss to the Packers. Miami really needs to win one of those Wild Card seeds with the Patriots unlikely to lose control of the AFC East. The Ravens and Colts are next in the standings; Baltimore was on a bye this week while Indianapolis beat Jacksonville. The Jaguars’ loss means they’re pretty much out of the playoff picture. But no team has been eliminated just yet. Not even the 1-8 Raiders.The biggest surprise: What’s really interesting here is how alive the Colts are, despite starting the season with a 1-5 record. Since 1995, two percent of teams that start the season with that record make the playoffs. Maybe the Colts will become part of that two percent, but they still have a tough road that includes games against the Titans (twice), Dolphins, and Texans. All of those games will have playoff implications.If the season ended today, these would be the AFC playoff seeds:1. Chiefs (record: 9-1), (conference record: 7-1)2. Steelers (6-2-1), (3-2-1)3. Patriots (7-3), (5-2)4. Texans (6-3), (5-2)5. Chargers (7-2), (5-1)6. Bengals (5-4), (3-2)In the hunt...Titans (5-4), (3-4)Dolphins (5-5), (4-3)Ravens (4-5), (4-3)Colts (4-5), (3-4)Browns (3-6-1), (2-4-1)Jaguars (3-6), (2-4)Broncos (3-6), (1-5)Bills (3-7), (2-5)Jets (3-7), (2-5)Raiders (1-8), (1-5)AFC notes: Cincinnati wins a tie break over Tennessee, Baltimore wins a tie break over Indianapolis, and Jacksonville wins a tie break over Denver based on best win percentage in conference games. Buffalo wins a tie break over the New York Jets based on head-to-head win percentage.NFC playoff pictureWhat stayed the same: All six of the NFC playoff teams remained the same from last week to this week, as did their seeds. The Rams, Saints http://www.atlantafalconsteamonline.com/matt-bosher-jersey , Bears, and Washington all won and retained their spots from one to four, respectively. The Panthers lost and the Vikings were on a bye, but they hold down the Wild Card seeds.What changed: The Vikings’ hold of the No. 6 seed weakened during their bye as the Packers are close behind following their win over the Dolphins. The hunt: The Packers are the new first team out, making their Week 12 game with the Vikings a very big one. The Falcons, who started the season 1-4 before winning three of their last four, are on the outside looking in. It’s possible Atlanta really does make it to the postseason as they’re just the second team out. Making the Falcons’ situation even funnier (or sadder, depending on who you ask), Atlanta lost to the Browns on Sunday. The Seahawks are in a similar situation to the Falcons after putting up a tough fight but falling short against the Rams. Next up for Seattle are the Packers and Panthers, two games that will have playoff implications. The Seahawks are the next in line after the Falcons.As is the case in the AFC, no team has been eliminated from the playoff race, but the Lions’ loss to the Bears may have did them in. The same is true of the Buccaneers following their loss to Washington.The biggest surprise: Prior to Sunday, the Cowboys seemed to have no chance at making the playoffs. On Sunday, Dallas beat the Eagles in Philadelphia and shook up not only the NFC East but the NFC playoff picture. The Cowboys are now alive once again and face a division-leading Washington team in just two weeks. A second game against the Eagles also remains on their schedule in December. Much will change in the NFC East in the next few weeks, but if you’re looking for one thing that seems fairly certain, it’s that the Giants won’t win the division.If the season ended today, these would be the NFC playoff seeds:1. Rams (9-1), (6-1)2. Saints (8-1), (5-1) 3. Bears (6-3), (4-1)4. ashington (6-3), (6-2)5. Panthers (6-3), (4-2)6. Vikings (5-3-1), (4-2-1)In the hunt...Packers (4-4-1), (2-3-1)Falcons (4-5), (4-2)Seahawks (4-5), (3-3)Cowboys (4-5), (3-3)Eagles (4-5), (2-4)Buccaneers (3-6), (2-4)Lions (3-6), (1-5)Cardinals (2-7), (1-5)49ers (2-7) Womens Brandon Fusco Jersey , (1-5)Giants (1-7), (0-6)NFC notes: Chicago wins a tie break over Washington and Tampa Bay wins a tie break over Detroit based on best win percentage in conference games. Atlanta wins a tie break over Dallas and Seattle based on best win percentage in conference games. Seattle wins a tie break over Dallas based on head-to-head win percentage. Dallas wins a tie break over Philadelphia based on head-to-head win percentage. Arizona wins a tie break over San Francisco based on head-to-head win percentage. Georgia could beat Alabama. Ohio State could beat Michigan. Pitt could beat Clemson (the Panthers have done it before, anyway). Things could still get weird at the top of the college football landscape.That said, it’s pretty clear how the 2018 season has defined itself: total stasis at the top, total chaos everywhere else. Week 11 was maybe the most heavily distilled version of this yet: nobody in the top 10 lost, and the projected College Football Playoff didn’t change at all.Beneath the surface, though, oddity reigned. Northwestern clinched the Big Ten West, despite an 0-3 non-conference record, with an upset of Iowa (and with Minnesota’s sudden and total destruction of Purdue). Pitt moved closer to the ACC Coastal title despite a 6-4 record. The Pac-12 South remained extraordinarily messy. There are always total surprises in this ridiculous sport; it’s just that in some years you have to search a little harder to find them.Let’s look back at Week 11 action by looking at the difference between projection and reality. S&P+ had a pretty good week — great from an absolute error standpoint (the difference between projection and result), though an only decent 53 percent against the spread. But whether the numbers are dialed in or not, however, there are always surprises.Using the S&P+ projections as a guide, let’s look at which games played out as expected and which ones very, very much did not.(Rankings listed below are from the most recent CFP rankings.)Right on (projection and reality within 3 points of each other)LSU’s Clyde Edwards-HelairePhoto by Wesley Hitt/Getty ImagesFAU 34, WKU 15 (projected margin: FAU by 18.9)Iowa State 28, Baylor 14 (projected margin: ISU by 13.1)Clemson 27, Boston College 7 (projected margin: Clemson by 18.4)UL-Lafayette 36, Georgia State 22 (projected margin: UL by 12.4)Virginia 45, Liberty 24 (projected margin: UVA by 19.2)Utah State 62, SJSU 24 (projected margin: USU by 35.8)Indiana 34, Maryland 32 (projected margin: UM by 0.6)Middle Tennessee 48, UTEP 32 (projected margin: MTSU by 13.4)LSU 24, Arkansas 17 (projected margin: LSU by 9.9)Things got strange in Fayetteville toward the end, but the the overall result wasn’t that disappointing for LSU.Mostly on (3 to 7 points)Nebraska’s JD SpielmanPhoto by Steven Branscombe/Getty ImagesNebraska 54, Illinois 35 (projected margin: NU by 15.7)Miami (Ohio) 30, Ohio 28 (projected margin: Ohio by 1.3)Cincinnati 35, USF 23 (projected margin: Cincy by 8.2)Georgia 27, Auburn 10 (projected margin: UGA by 12.9)EMU 27, Akron 7 (projected margin: EMU by 15.9)Utah 32, Oregon 25 (projected margin: Utah by 11.2)Stanford 48 Womens Desmond Trufant Jersey , Oregon State 17 (projected margin: Stanford by 26.7)Florida 35, South Carolina 31 (projected margin: UF by 8.8)Marshall 30, Charlotte 13 (projected margin: Herd by 22.2)Tulane 24, ECU 18 (projected margin: Tulane by 11.8)Notre Dame 42, Florida State 13 (projected margin: ND by 22.9)Alabama 24, Mississippi State 0 (projected margin: Bama by 17.8)Texas A&M 38, Ole Miss 24 (projected margin: A&M by 7.7)Kansas State 21, Kansas 17 (projected margin: KSU by 10.7)Michigan 42, Rutgers 7 (projected margin: UM by 41.9)On Podcast Ain’t Played Nobody this week, I talked about how underrated-ly fun the Nebraska-Illinois game could be, with a surging NU offense and a gorgeous Illinois run game (and two bad defenses). Eighty-nine points and 1,100 yards later, I will claim victory on that one.A little off (7 to 17 points)Northwestern’s Clayton ThorsonPhoto by Matthew Holst/Getty ImagesSMU 62, UConn 50 (projected margin: SMU by 19.5)Louisiana Tech 28, Rice 13 (projected margin: Tech by 23.4)Duke 42, North Carolina 35 (projected margin: Duke by 15.6)UAB 26, Southern Miss 23 (projected margin: UAB by 11.9)Air Force 42, New Mexico 24 (projected margin: AFA by 8.7)Cal 15, USC 14 (projected margin: USC by 8.4)Penn State 22, Wisconsin 10 (projected margin: PSU by 2.5)Appalachian State 38, Texas State 7 (projected margin: App State by 21.3)Memphis 47, Tulsa 21 (projected margin: UM by 16.2)Arizona State 31, UCLA 28 (projected margin: ASU by 13.1)Missouri 33, Vanderbilt 28 (projected margin: Mizzou by 15.5)Buffalo 48, Kent State 14 (projected margin: UB by 10.6)Texas 41, Texas Tech 34 (projected margin: Tech by 3.9)Army 31, Lafayette 13 (projected margin: Army by 29.3)BYU 35, UMass 16 (projected margin: BYU by 7.2)Troy 35, Georgia Southern 21 (projected margin: Troy by 2.1)Georgia Tech 27, Miami 21 (projected margin: Canes by 6.7)Temple 59, Houston 49 (projected margin: UH by 3.0)Washington State 31 Authentic Austin Hooper Jersey , Colorado 7 (projected margin: Wazzu by 11.0)Syracuse 54, Louisville 23 (projected margin: Cuse by 16.4)Ohio State 26, Michigan State 6 (projected margin: OSU by 5.1)Oklahoma 48, Oklahoma State 47 (projected margin: OU by 16.5)Boise State 24, Fresno State 17 (projected margin: Fresno by 8.7)Northwestern 14, Iowa 10 (projected margin: Iowa by 11.9)From a numbers standpoint, Northwestern’s run of success this year is unfathomable. The Wildcats get outgained constantly, lost to Akron, etc. But they might also have the strongest identity in the country. They know how they’re going to win games, and it’s won them their first division title.Way off (17-28 points)UNLV’s Lexington ThomasPhoto by Kent Horner/Getty ImagesWake Forest 27, NC State 23 (projected margin: NC State by 13.1)Arkansas State 44, Coastal Carolina (projected margin: ASU by 9.9)UCF 35, Navy 24 (projected margin: UCF by 33.4)NIU 38, Toledo 15 (projected margin: NIU by 0.1)Old Dominion 34, North Texas (projected margin: UNT by 20.3)ULM 38, South Alabama 10 (projected margin: ULM by 4.5)Tennessee 24, Kentucky 7 (projected margin: UK by 7.3)Nevada 49, Colorado State 10 (projected margin: Nevada by 14.6)WVU 47, TCU 10 (projected margin: WVU by 10.4)FIU 45, UTSA 7 (projected margin: FIU by 11.4)UNLV 27, SDSU 24 (projected margin: SDSU by 24.1)S&P+ missed high on UNLV for weeks because it takes a while to account for important injuries (like that of UNLV quarterback Armani Rogers). And then the moment it gives up on the Rebels, they pull a significant upset. Figures.Way, way off (more than 28 points)Minnesota’s Jake PaulsonPhoto by Hannah Foslien/Getty ImagesPitt 52, Virginia Tech 22 (projected margin: VT by 0.3)Minnesota 41, Purdue 10 (projected margin: Purdue by 8.4)What the hell was that, Purdue??